Solar System
Dynamics
Group
2007 RY19

Asteroid 2007 RY19 was discovered on September 13, 2007 by the NASA-founded LINEAR asteroid survey eight days before it passed about 11 million kilometers of Earth. The object is estimated at 90—210 metres.

Number of original observations: 40
Arc : 2007 09 14 - 2007 09 25
Nominal rms: 0″.47 (80 residuals)

Possible collisions in: 2024, 2033, 2036, 2060, 2075, 2076, 2080A, 2080B, 2081, 2084, 2085A, 2085B, 2087, 2089A, 2089B, 2089C





Year: 2024


Orbital elements of impact orbit for two dates (equ. J2000)

Epoch [TT] a [AU] e i [deg] Ω [deg] ω [deg] M [deg] rms
 
dev/σ
 
20071027

20240306
1.102334351
2.64
1.093433615
0.248384195
2.67
0.246271611
12.3627706
2.68
12.4193332
352.4570591
2.69
352.3049086
99.2988960
-2.69
99.2988960
328.0961794
2.70
49.4006976
0″.47

 

Impact date: 2024 03 12.693 (UT)   Vimpact= 14.552 km/sec   Ψimpact = 48°.51  

dev/σ
Deviation from the nominal orbit parameter divided by the respective uncertainty.
Vimpact
The velocity of the asteroid relative to the Earth at the moment of impact.
Ψimpact
The impact angle is measured from the vertical axis that goes through the impact point. Thus, the impact angle is 0 degrees for a vertical impact.
rms
Root mean square for the derived impact orbit.

Year: 2033


Orbital elements of impact orbit for two dates (equ. J2000)

Epoch [TT] a [AU] e i [deg] Ω [deg] ω [deg] M [deg] rms
 
dev/σ
 
20071027

20330306
1.102363114
2.62
1.087325333
0.248406376
2.66
0.244773646
12.3640110
2.67
12.4602759
352.4574469
2.68
352.2359714
99.2962327
-2.68
96.6962978
328.0998447
2.68
50.2398878
0″.59

 

Impact date: 2033 03 12.932 (UT)   Vimpact= 14.364 km/sec   Ψimpact = 12°.22  

Year: 2036


Orbital elements of impact orbit for two dates (equ. J2000)

Epoch [TT] a [AU] e i [deg] Ω [deg] ω [deg] M [deg] rms
 
dev/σ
 
20071027

20360306
1.102464883
2.58
1.114751374
0.248488342
2.62
0.251301990
12.3684348
2.63
12.3292771
352.4588109
2.63
352.2294764
99.2873321
-2.62
101.6668725
328.1127566
2.64
45.7998462
0″.48

 

Impact date: 2036 03 12.698 (UT)   Vimpact= 14.513 km/sec   Ψimpact = 41°.71  

Year: 2060


Orbital elements of impact orbit for two dates (equ. J2000)

Epoch [TT] a [AU] e i [deg] Ω [deg] ω [deg] M [deg] rms
 
dev/σ
 
20071027

20600306
1.102069160
2.75
1.104309347
0.248139403
2.79
0.248742563
12.3500351
2.80
12.3392428
352.4531286
2.81
352.0525687
99.3176741
-2.81
99.8301694
328.0631201
2.82
47.5225936
0″.60

 

Impact date: 2060 03 12.677 (UT)   Vimpact= 14.420 km/sec   Ψimpact = 24°.98  

Year: 2075


Orbital elements of impact orbit for two dates (equ. J2000)

Epoch [TT] a [AU] e i [deg] Ω [deg] ω [deg] M [deg] rms
 
dev/σ
 
20071027

20750306
1.104990387
1.47
1.101302800
0.250766399
1.48
0.250023650
12.4873463
1.48
12.4993133
352.4954978
1.48
352.0067335
99.1050848
-1.50
98.9403375
328.4246253
1.49
47.4313043
0″.53

 

Impact date: 2075 03 13.474 (UT)   Vimpact= 14.753 km/sec   Ψimpact = 72°.51  

Year: 2076


Orbital elements of impact orbit for two dates (equ. J2000)

Epoch [TT] a [AU] e i [deg] Ω [deg] ω [deg] M [deg] rms
 
dev/σ
 
20071027

20760306
1.105026506
1.46
1.099111909
0.250786749
1.47
0.249447196
12.4886266
1.47
12.5163510
352.4959013
1.47
351.9822608
99.1007560
-1.47
98.5995998
328.4292840
1.47
48.4180393
0″.49

 

Impact date: 2076 03 12.724 (UT)   Vimpact= 14.504 km/sec   Ψimpact = 51°.77  

Year: 2080


Orbital elements of impact orbit for two dates (equ. J2000)

Epoch [TT] a [AU] e i [deg] Ω [deg] ω [deg] M [deg] rms
 
dev/σ
 
20071027

20800306
1.105312569
1.33
1.106107983
0.251043161
1.34
0.251446961
12.5019158
1.34
12.4882401
352.4999849
1.34
351.9760345
99.0803370
-1.35
99.7693998
328.4642329
1.35
47.2686310
0″.49

 

Impact date: 2080 03 12.723 (UT)   Vimpact= 14.589 km/sec   Ψimpact = 44°.54  

 
dev/σ
 
20071027

20800306
1.105389667
1.30
1.106133609
0.251103422
1.31
0.251530998
12.5052463
1.31
12.4903294
352.5010238
1.31
351.9841205
99.0735576
-1.31
99.7615569
328.4738055
1.31
47.2598894
0″.48

 

Impact date: 2080 03 12.731 (UT)   Vimpact= 14.564 km/sec   Ψimpact = 40°.15  

Year: 2081


Orbital elements of impact orbit for two dates (equ. J2000)

Epoch [TT] a [AU] e i [deg] Ω [deg] ω [deg] M [deg] rms
 
dev/σ
 
20071027

20810306
1.105945890
1.05
1.105945890
0.251599529
1.06
0.251289206
12.5311125
1.06
12.5343787
352.5089979
1.06
351.9780710
99.0337713
-1.06
99.3895601
328.5414972
1.06
47.3652400
0″.47

 

Impact date: 2081 03 13.004 (UT)   Vimpact= 14.539 km/sec   Ψimpact = 55°.31  

Year: 2084


Orbital elements of impact orbit for two dates (equ. J2000)

Epoch [TT] a [AU] e i [deg] Ω [deg] ω [deg] M [deg] rms
 
dev/σ
 
20071027

20840306
1.106013483
1.02
1.097026369
0.251653262
1.03
0.249210865
12.5340555
1.03
12.6049167
352.5099140
1.03
351.9525985
99.0280033
-1.03
98.1887653
328.5498296
1.03
48.7531230
0″.48

 

Impact date: 2084 03 12.755 (UT)   Vimpact= 14.724 km/sec   Ψimpact = 81°.85  

Year: 2085


Orbital elements of impact orbit for two dates (equ. J2000)

Epoch [TT] a [AU] e i [deg] Ω [deg] ω [deg] M [deg] rms
 
dev/σ
 
20071027

20850306
1.105169292
1.39
1.108954753
0.250915617
1.40
0.251878894
12.4953275
1.40
12.4777212
352.4979667
1.41
351.9269476
99.0906755
-1.41
100.3150808
328.4467129
1.41
46.5906485
0″.49

 

Impact date: 2085 03 12.962 (UT)   Vimpact= 14.660 km/sec   Ψimpact = 56°.12  

 
dev/σ
 
20071027

20850306
1.105224627
1.37
1.110530871
0.250965810
1.38
0.252369220
12.4979091
1.38
12.4696446
352.4987579
1.38
351.9376083
99.0868144
-1.39
100.5963452
328.4534619
1.39
46.3112423
0″.49

 

Impact date: 2085 03 12.981 (UT)   Vimpact= 14.393 km/sec   Ψimpact = 9°.90  

Year: 2087


Orbital elements of impact orbit for two dates (equ. J2000)

Epoch [TT] a [AU] e i [deg] Ω [deg] ω [deg] M [deg] rms
 
dev/σ
 
20071027

20870306
1.106041871
1.01
1.091470672
0.251684352
1.02
0.243348647
12.5355535
1.02
12.9177579
352.5103687
1.02
351.9217871
99.0268240
-1.02
97.8789287
328.5531605
1.02
48.9470124
0″.47

 

Impact date: 2087 03 13.471 (UT)   Vimpact= 14.402 km/sec   Ψimpact = 11°.59  

Year: 2089


Orbital elements of impact orbit for two dates (equ. J2000)

Epoch [TT] a [AU] e i [deg] Ω [deg] ω [deg] M [deg] rms
 
dev/σ
 
20071027

20890306
1.104612199
1.64
1.101891283
0.250410686
1.65
0.249995145
12.4690680
1.66
12.4611244
352.4898682
1.66
351.8910592
99.1298249
-1.65
99.1086797
328.3786435
1.66
47.7453093
0″.50

 

Impact date: 2089 03 12.963 (UT)   Vimpact= 14.401 km/sec   Ψimpact = 30°.51  

 
dev/σ
 
20071027

20890306
1.104847321
1.53
1.100550980
0.250624492
1.55
0.249766284
12.4802425
1.55
12.4851338
352.4933259
1.55
351.8935100
99.1133526
-1.55
98.8430121
328.4073829
1.55
47.9794099
0″.50

 

Impact date: 2089 03 12.959 (UT)   Vimpact= 14.380 km/sec   Ψimpact = 5°.35  

 
dev/σ
 
20071027

20890306
1.105965123

1.102031358
0.251612952
1.04
0.250759318
12.5318478
1.05
12.5427331
352.5092213
1.05
351.9294115
99.0318643
-1.05
98.9895005
328.5439152
1.05
47.7347163
0″.47

 

Impact date: 2089 03 12.990 (UT)   Vimpact= 14.493 km/sec   Ψimpact = 23°.82  




External links:

2007 RY19 page (NASA JPL) and Impact Risk page NEO Program (NASA JPL)
2007 RY19 page and Impact Risk page at the NEO Dynamic Site (NEODyS)




Solar System Dynamics & Planetology Group, 2008. All rights reserved