Solar System
Dynamics
Group
Impact orbits of
Potentially Hazardous Asteroids




This project was supported by the Polish Ministry of Science and Higher Education — grant 4T 12E 039 20, which was realized in the years 2005–2009. The last update of this page was implemented here in 2012.


In this page we list all the Potentially Hazardous Asteroids for which we determined the impact orbits compatible with the existing set of observations. Our investigation were performed from the present days till 2100, except some special asteroids as (29075) 1950 DA. We listed also objects classified as PHA's that were analysed by us and any impact orbit were possible to detemine up to 2100.

We can "clone" the impact orbit, compute impact parameters, and can determine a path of the impact locations on the Earth surface (example 2).

In the table given below we indicate the entries to all the asteroids for which we derived impact orbits ( yes button) and to asteroids we have found no impact orbits ( no button).


Special case of (99942)Apophis



Object Impact orbit Diameter [m] Other informations
2012 QD8 yes 60—140
2011 UE305 yes 150—330 older results
2011 UL21 no 2500 older results
2011 HB53 no 1000—2100 older results
2011 GN44 no 700—1500 older results
2011 BT15 yes 130—300
2011 AG5 yes 100—230 older results
2010 JH110 yes 10—30 older results
2010 HP20 yes 0—20
2010 FD yes 10—40
2010 CR5 yes 310—700 older results
2010 CA yes 32—73
2009 XO yes 230—530 older results
2009 WM1 yes 250—560 older results
2009 VA yes 0—10
2009 TM8 yes 0—10
2009 TH8 yes 30—70
2009 TD17 yes 0—10
2009 SH1 yes 0—10
2009 MG1 yes 40—100 older results
2009 KK no 220—490 older results
2009 JF1 yes 10—20
2009 FJ yes 30—70
2009 BD yes 0—10
2009 AV no 700—1600 older results
2009 AL no 130—290 older results
2008 YU32 no 310—700 older results
2008 YF29 yes 40—100
2008 YC3 yes 20—50 older results
2008 XQ2 no 310—700 older results
2008 XC1 yes 50—120
2008 WY94 no 20—50 older results
2008 WK96 no 70—160 older results
2008 UV99 yes 360—800
2008 UB7 yes 50—110
2008 TE yes 0—10
2008 ST7 yes 40—100 older results
2008 OO yes 350 — 730
2008 JL3 yes 20 — 50
2008 ER7 no 300 — 670 older results
2008 AF4 yes 340 — 770
2007 VK184 yes 110 — 260
2007 RY19 yes 90 — 210
2006 SU49 = 2001 UV17 no 360 — 800 older results
2006 SC yes 20 — 60
2006 QV89 yes 20 — 50
2005 YU55 yes 200 close approach on November 8, 2011
2005 QK76 yes 20 — 60
(144898)
2004 VD17
yes 320(a) older results
2004 LV3 no 500 — 1200
2004 NL8 no 1100 — 2600
(99942)Apophis
2004 MN4
yes 325 ± 15(c) older results
2004 FU4 no 600 — 1300 older results
(144332) 2004 DV24 no 1400 — 3200 older results
2001 WN5 yes 700 — 1500 older results
2000 WO107 no 410 — 920
2000 SG344 yes 30 — 70
(101955)
1999 RQ36
yes 200 older results
(137108)
1999 AN10
no 800 — 1800 older results
1997 XR2 no 200 — 460 older results
(35396)
1997 XF11
no 1300 — 2800 older results
1994 WR12 yes 110 — 260
(2340) Hathor yes 5300
(29075)
1950 DA
yes 1100-1400(b) older results
R e f e r e n c e s
(a) De Luise et al. 2007, Icarus 191, 828-635
(b) Binzel, R.P. et al. 2002, in 'Asteroids III' (Eds. W.F.Bottke et al.), Univ.Ariz.Press, Tucson, USA, pp. 255-271. (Physical Properties of NEOs)
(c) Herschel Intercepts asteroid Apophis





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