Solar System
Dynamics
Group
2009 BD

Number of original observations: 119
Arc : 2009 01 16 - 2009 01 26
Nominal rms: 0″.54 (237 residuals)

Possible collisions in: 2064, 2076, 2080





Year: 2064


Orbital elements of impact orbit for two dates (equ. J2000)

Epoch [TT] a [AU] e i [deg] Ω [deg] ω [deg] M [deg] rms
 
dev/σ
 
20090218

20640427
1.013069479
-1.29
1.028743006
0.043085769
-0.53
0.034663750
0.3766620
-0.28
2.3604335
64.7628790
-0.30
226.4723917
111.7414947
0.29
301.5813704
335.4184418
0.37
45.5172734
0″.54

 

Impact date: 2064 05 05.049 (UT)   Vimpact= 11.247 km/sec   Ψimpact = 42°.85  

dev/σ
Deviation from the nominal orbit parameter divided by the respective uncertainty.
Vimpact
The velocity of the asteroid relative to the Earth at the moment of impact.
Ψimpact
The impact angle is measured from the vertical axis that goes through the impact point. Thus, the impact angle is 0 degrees for a vertical impact.
rms
Root mean square for the derived impact orbit.

Year: 2076


Orbital elements of impact orbit for two dates (equ. J2000)

Epoch [TT] a [AU] e i [deg] Ω [deg] ω [deg] M [deg] rms
 
dev/σ
 
20090218

20760411
1.013069356
-0.50
0.976423426
0.043083985
-0.02
0.062804386
0.3765912
0.05
1.1757763
64.7439752
0.04
210.7560869
111.7580135
-0.04
238.9053493
335.4205495
-0.03
104.5279852
0″.54

 

Impact date: 2076 04 18.588 (UT)   Vimpact= 11.181 km/sec   Ψimpact =53°.60  

Year: 2080


Orbital elements of impact orbit for two dates (equ. J2000)

Epoch [TT] a [AU] e i [deg] Ω [deg] ω [deg] M [deg] rms
 
dev/σ
 
20090218

20800427
1.013069302
-0.15
1.037569676
0.043084887
-0.28
0.040374946
0.3766572
-0.25
2.2183016
64.7604185
-0.26
226.5987475
111.7432429
0.26
311.4678455
335.4190441
0.26
35.4749963
0″.54

 

Impact date: 2080 05 05.381 (UT)   Vimpact= 11.238 km/sec   Ψimpact =1°.09  



External links:

2009 BD page (NASA JPL) and Impact Risk page NEO Program (NASA JPL)
2009 BD page and Impact Risk page at the NEO Dynamic Site (NEODyS)




Solar System Dynamics & Planetology Group, 2008. All rights reserved